Monday, December 20, 2004

HillaryWatch - Will She Run or Not

Our fine friend over at RadioBlogger seems insistent on saying that Sen. Clinton is NOT going to make a stab at the Presidency. For what its worth - HillaryWatch believes that not only will she be the candidate but that she will pick Illinois Senator Barack Obama as her running mate.

Radio Blogger feels boistered in his prediction by sighting this recent Rasmussen story...

The part RB highlights is this:

December 13, 2004--If the next Presidential Election were held today, 46% of voters would vote for a generic Republican candidate over Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 39% of voters would cast their ballot for Senator Clinton. The New York Senator holds a narrow 45% to 42% lead among women, but trails by 17 points among men.

RB goes on to say that because of this, she can't attain Margret Thatcher like status, will see the handwriting on the wall and decide to opt out.

We're not buying it especially in light of these numbers out over the same weekend...
"Her approval rating has jumped from 38 percent when she took office nearly four years ago to 63 percent this month, according to a Quinnipiac University poll.


Another Quinnipiac poll suggests that Clinton could do better than expected in swing states in a presidential race. In the survey of 1,039 registered voters in Florida, 45 percent said they would like to see her run for president in 2008 compared with 36 percent for 2004 Democratic vice presidential nominee John Edwards.

"The anti-Hillary faction is not as large as some conventional wisdom believes it is," said Clay Richards, assistant director of Quinnipiac polling. "The fact that she gets 20 percent of the Republican vote (in the poll) indicates to me that she is not necessarily seen as a New York liberal."

With Chuck Schumer and others taking on more of the heavy lifting in the U.S. Senate on liberal intiatives...look for Hillary to be increasingly a voice of the "seemingly more moderate middle"...pair her with the rising "Rock Star" of the party (and the premiere black politician who will get cameras with him everywhere this next few years) and you have the ticket for '08.

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